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2019-2025欧洲电动汽车浪潮.pdf

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(ELECTRIC) SURGE! Carmakers electric car plans across Europe 2019-2025 July 2019

Transport & Environment Published: July 2019 © 2019 European Federation for Transport and Environment AISBL Editeur responsable: William Todts, Executive Director Further information Lucien MATHIEU Transport & E-mobility Analyst Transport & Environment lucien.mathieu@transportenvironment.org Mobile: +32 (0)4 83 08 48 91 Square de Meeûs, 18 – 2nd floor | B-1050 | Brussels | Belgium www.transportenvironment.org | @transenv | fb: Transport & Environment Acknowledgements This report is the result of an in-house analysis done by T&E, with a collective effort from the team, including: Florent Grelier, Julia Poliscanova, Carlos Calvo Ambel, Eoin Bannon and Sofia Alexandridou. 2

Table of Contents Summary ...................................................................................................................... 5 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................ 7 2. Carmakers’ EV plans across Europe: 2019 to 2025 ....................................................... 8 2.1. Forecast data on EV production ........................................................................................ 8 2.2. EV models coming to the market up to 2025 ....................................................................... 9 2.3. Shift in production volumes ........................................................................................... 12 2.3.1 . Market evolution ................................................................................................................................. 12 2.3.2 . FCEV production .................................................................................................................................. 14 2.3.3. CNG production ................................................................................................................................... 14 2.3.4. Full Hybrids .......................................................................................................................................... 15 2.4. Individual OEM production plans .................................................................................... 15 2.5. Expected production per vehicle segment ........................................................................ 16 2.6. Location of EV production .............................................................................................. 18 3. Battery production in the EU .................................................................................. 23 3.1. Lithium-ion battery demand for EU EV production ............................................................ 23 3.2. EU planned production capacity of Li-ion batteries ........................................................... 24 3.3. Jobs in EU battery manufacturing ................................................................................... 28 4. EVs needed in 2025 & 2030 for CO2 compliance ......................................................... 30 5. Conclusions and policy recommendations ............................................................... 33 5.1. Conclusions .................................................................................................................. 33 5.2. Recommendations ........................................................................................................ 34 6. Annexes ................................................................................................................ 36 6.1. EV model analysis: methodology and scope...................................................................... 36 6.2. EVs needed in 2025 & 2030 for CO2 compliance: Assumptions and methodology .................. 36 3

2019-2025欧洲电动汽车浪潮.pdf

2019-2025欧洲电动汽车浪潮.pdf

2019-2025欧洲电动汽车浪潮.pdf

2019-2025欧洲电动汽车浪潮.pdf

2019-2025欧洲电动汽车浪潮.pdf

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